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Season 2, Episode 5 &mid Notebook of a COO

The 13-Week Cash Flow Forecast That Keeps You From Going Under

Your revenue is up. Your margins look right on paper. And you are still stressed about cash. That is not a math problem. That is a visibility problem. This episode builds the system that fixes it.

The Framework

Why operators run out of cash while profitable.

Three things the 13-week cash flow forecast fixes that a budget or P&L cannot.

01

Profit vs. Cash

Profit is an accounting concept. Cash is a physical reality. You can close a $20,000 project in December, invoice on December 31st, and not see a dollar of it until January 30th on net-30 terms. Your December P&L looks strong. Your December bank account never saw it. Scale that across twelve clients and six vendors and you have a timing problem that no P&L will show you.

02

The Timing Gap

The gap between when money is earned and when it actually arrives is where businesses die. Revenue up 30 percent, profitable on paper, and you are holding your breath on the 15th because two client payments running three days late coincided with payroll and a vendor invoice. That is a timing problem. And timing problems cannot be solved by selling more. You cannot invoice your way out of a gap that is already open.

03

90-Day Forward Visibility

The 13-week forecast is a rolling weekly view of every dollar coming in and every dollar going out for the next 90 days. It maps your actual cash position, not your projected revenue. It accounts for when invoices get paid, when obligations hit, and what the gap between those two looks like week by week. You stop finding out about problems after they arrive and start seeing them ninety days before they do.

Next Episode

The Single Point of Failure: What’s Quietly Breaking Your Business Right Now

One person. One process. One platform. Most operators find their single point of failure the same way everyone else does. It breaks. This episode shows you how to find it before it does.

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